The End of the Trend Is Near

We all have been patiently watching and waiting for this trend to end after the Silver drive-by shooting. I believe we are very close to the end of this trend.  As you all know I am not a technical trader and put little credence in technical analysis in such a market that is rigged on many levels.  Think about it, the physical inventory is manipulated by the paper market trading billions of ounces overnight when most of the world’s market were closed leading to a $6 crash in 15 minutes.  On top of that manipulation, we have all of the derivatives that multiply the winnings for those in the know.  The markets are then manipulated with rate hikes, margin requirements, and rule changes. Look at the FOREX markets that just outlawed trading precious metals. Then you have the dollar, which is what silver is valued in, that in itself is a lie. Finally, I believe the Elite put most of this technical analysis to get the Pavlovian dog traders/traitors to instinctively react to the signals the Elite put out. 
All that being said, it looks like this consolidation trend is coming to an end.

  • The debt ceiling will be raised, count on it. (Read: The Contrived Drama of the Debt Ceiling.)
  • Trillions in QE3 will come before or after a market panic that will shake the foundation of all paper assets.
  • I wrote earlier that the line established around the time I released the Silver Bullet and the Silver Shield looks to be holding. The CRIMEX inventory has been has been going down like the Titanic with physical registered inventory. (See chart below.) With only about 3% of CRIMEX trades actually taking delivery, this inventory could be gone this month with some pressure.
  • July, by the way, is a delivery month on the CRIMEX. Options expiry ends June 27th which usually signals a time to release some of the pressure they have put on the market.
  • My hope is that the Hong Kong Mercantile Exchange finally announces physical silver contracts very soon.
  • Gold looks like it is about to breakout in the dollar and might drag silver up with it.
  • The Euro looks like it is going to blow and the dollar is not that much better off. Everyone is talking the PIIGS, but states like California, Illinois, and New York are much worse off.
  • As we head into this next crisis I don’t believe that the world is going to rush out of the PM’s like in 2008. I think the hands that own the PM’s in 2011 are much stronger than the hands in 2008. Besides all of the awareness among the American investors, there are huge forces who now know what the Precious Metal suppression means to the Anglo-American Empire of war and debt. (Read: The Rise of the anti-Hegemon, The World is Cornering the Elite, The 3 Demands of Silver.)

The only caveat I see is this July 15th drop dead date on the FOREX trades on PM’s. I do expect the Elite to pull more cards out of it hat and use some of the mythical SLV to back up the CRIMEX. The downside risk is down to $31 at the 200dma which if you are holding physical is no big deal. The upside is $960 Silver… They may try one more drive by, but any short term gains they make in the paper market will be met with long term physical problems as the CRIMEX inventory shows. Long term there is NO winning for the Elite if we stick to our buy physical only strategy. If you trade silver, mining shares or warrants you really need to gut check yourself and decide why you are playing this market. It is my belief that if you have any FRN’s in the market you are in the Elite’s casino and they will never let you out with any significant winning with out changing the rules or manipulating the market. If you have money in IRA, 401ks, savings or any other dollar denominated asset you need to think about getting out while the music is still playing. What are you going to do when we have another panic like in 2008? The worse part this time around, you know better now. ( Read: The Treasury is Coming, Got a 401k or IRA?)

I fully support the Silver Viral Project. This project is a great way to increase the awareness for investing in physical silver. (If only more people put effort into this project than the Ponzi Scheme Bitcoin…) Stop dragging your feet and act as if the is no tomorrow. Beat the rush and panic now. 😉


31 comments to The End of the Trend Is Near

  • daan

    Why do we always talk about the COMEX warehouse inventories knowing that the LBMA is m u c h bigger and more important concerning a possible default…..

  • Silver Shield

    I guess because we are American, it’s all about us, right? 😉

    Do you have a link showing their inventories?

  • daan

    I do not have the actual numbers, but the point I wanted to make is that big investors very active in de bullion market – like Jim Puplava – David Morgan – Jim Rickards – Jim Sinclair – James Turk and others are making kind of a joke when other people talk about the COMEX fraud instead looking to what (might) happens to de LBMA fraud, which is much more important for investors having their money in precious metals.

  • Silver Shield

    It is not a joke both markets are manipulated and they are both owned by the Elite.

    If one goes down to fraud they will all go down.

    LBMA is much larger but I bet the fraud there is much larder.

    I cannot find any inventory numbers on the LBMA where as the CRIMEX numbers are readily available.

    At the end of the day the paper manipulation will end when someone shows up to pick up their silver and the metal won’t be there.

    Till then the music is still playing.

  • Lila

    You seriously need to learn to leave a space after a comma or semi-colon or colon, it would be easier reading. Thanks very much.

  • Goatman

    Well i have a question about a 401 k thru Prudential. Part of it is in the core account in a ‘stable value fund’ and the bulk is in a self directed account (also thru Prudential) This is solely made up of I Shares Silver Trust. Should I leave it in or sell? The only way for me to get it is to quit my job and wasn’t wanting to do that right now. Already have a loan out and we can only do one at a time. Help?!?!

    • Silver Shield

      I am under the belief that ALL paper assets are going to collapse and that people are going to see what counter party risk is when everyone is running for the exits.

      People will see that they are low man on the totem pole and that insiders closer to the real assets will seize them first.

      You can only borrow against your 401k now but they are looking to out law that soon.

      If you don’t hold it, you don’t own it.

  • IDSilver

    I just received my recently closed 401k funds (after taxes of course) and placed the money in the evil empires bank (temporarily). Setting myself up for another physical silver purchase. Trying to guess the market to make my best move, but on the other hand it really doesn’t make much difference. I watch/read about Greece and the other teetering Euorpean nations believing I am looking into a crystal ball.

  • Bert

    So you don’t have concerns about having all your eggs in the PM basket?

    You aren’t concerned that a desperate government could invoke laws making the buying/selling/holding of PMs quite uncomfortable?
    Nor are you concerned about theft,fire,flood,tornado,hurricane, etc?

    Granted I can see going 50-60% into physical PMs. Beyond that well …..

    If you DID leave 1/3 of your savings to be put into something other that physical and you were expecting serious disruptions ahead … what would be your selections?
    Currency such as Swedish Krone or Aussie or Singapore dollar?
    How about a commodity ETF, say for example that one that tracks Jim Rogers recommendations?
    Or even PIMPCO TRF (now that Bill Gross has caught the ‘financial-repression’ religion)

    I’m curious about your thoughts

    • Silver Shield

      I did have reservations in 2005 but 6 years into it I can tell you I sleep very well at night.

      There is nothing wrong with having all of your eggs in one basket if you have the right basket.

      I operate that ALL paper assets are going to crash and fundamentally there is no difference between cash in the bank, foreign currencies, stock, bonds or real estate they all operate off of the lie that we can get something for nothing or the debt is money.

      I believe that we are going to have a crash in ALL paper assets and that the trend for the next few years is going to continue to flow to REAL tangible assets.

      Operating under that paradigm which commodities to you buy?

      Historically food and fuel provide the best returns in these environments but investing a huge amount of money in we either runs into logistical problems.

      In my mind gold and silver offer the best opportunity and once you understand the fundamentals of silver over gold, silver becomes the biggest no brainer in human history.

      I do not trust anyone that says get into this paper version of silver.

      If you do not hold it, you do not own it.

      People will learn what counter party risk is when everyone is running for the fire exit.

      P.S. Bill Gross is putting on an act and he is just doing his part for the establishment. QE3 is coming he will miraculously be on the right side of the trade when it happens.

  • Goatman

    maybe i worded the question wrong. silver has dropped some but do you see it reaching previous highs in the paper market as well? I have some physical as well but i didn’t want to lose what i had in the 401 k.
    My time frame for finding other employment is around 6-8 months

  • I will trade all my silver for monoply money any day of the yr. Sure will!

  • Jon

    Bernanke just said we are in stagflation. This is good for silver. Please checkout my blog for some of the best info out there.
    Today Peter schiff called for silver at 200 an ounce!

  • Looks like with the comment numbers, more and more people are getting involved. I remember when posts would just go by without a peep and now it’s heating up.

    Keep helping the people, Shield.

  • Greg

    How can I take all of my 401k money out and pay the 10% penality when they say I can only borrow 50% of it and pay it back through my paychecks. There has to be a way without quiting your job.

    • Silver Shield

      There are a list of hardships like a medical illness but short of leaving your job you are screwed.

      I owned my own company and I could not take it out without firing myself.

      Stop contributing and borrow what you can if that is your course of action.

      And remember it is 10% plus the normal income tax you would have paid.

      This might throw you in a higher tax bracket, just be aware.

  • liam mateer

    THE CHINESE ARE WAITING I THINK FOR THE COMEX TO DEFAULT ON SILVER AND GOLD.THEN THE LBMA SCANDAL WILL ERUPT THE UK WILL BECOME A PARIAH STATE, PROBABLY ON THE SAME DAY OR NEXT THEY WILL ANNOUNCE IN CHINA THEY ARE SELLING PHYSICAL METAL AT THEIR EXCHANGE IN HONG-KONG. THIS WILL BE THE FINAL NAIL IN THE US-UK COFFIN AT LAST ITS PUBLIC POWER HAS SHIFTED FROM THE WEST TO THE EAST, HAVING THE BARBARIANS NOW WITH ALL THE GOLD AND SILVER IS A HORRIBLE PROSPECT.IN LONDON, THE MONEY WILL DESERT THIS CITY THE BRITISH WILL NOT BE ABLE TO STOP IT THIS TIME LIKE IN FEB 09 WHEN THEY KISSED CHINESE SCUM’s BUTTs. THE UK WILL BE FINISHED FOR 50 -60 YEARS A THIRD-WORLD COUNTRY OVERNIGHT,YOU YANKS WITH YOUR PROBLEMS WILL LOOK AT US WITH PITY AS YOUR OWN POPULATION STARVES. AT LEAST NO ONE WILL BE COMPLAINING ABOUT ALL THE FOREIGNERS AS THEY EXIT THE COUNTRY EN MASS, FOR A LONG TIME THE AIRLINES WILL BE DOING BRISK BUSINESS. ALL DEPARTURES

  • Keltoi

    I finally have all my cash from savings, IRA etc. ready to go and I’m planning on purchasing today. Is it best to buy coins or bars? My concern is that IF I ever need it for currency it will may be difficult to convert the bars.

  • Jeff

    End of the trend huh?

    Is that why we are getting slaughtered today?

    Down about 4-5% on the day already?

    Although I own a shit-ton of physical silver and gold…I personally think we are not going to see the big “hyper-inflation” event you keep talking about.

    The deflationary forces that are out there are just far too big for them to get away from it by printing money…if you have not noricd…credit and money are shrinking…write-offs by banks are going crazy and credit destruction is at it’s highest level since 2009.

    We may be in for a LONG ride down yet I think….Don’t get me wrong…I ain’t selling shit…I am gonna hold onto every last silver coin I have…because I think in the long term, I will be glad I did. However, to sugest that the “trend of dropping prices is coming to an end” is being diingenuous at best.

    Any of you who are expecting to get “rich” off of precious metals are thinking about it all wrong anyway….there is NO get rich quick play available for the little guy. Don’t expect the dollar to die so easily…this “trend” is gonna continue for a LONG time…you just watch.

    I would not be buying any silver or gold until it goes back under $20.00 / $1250.00….Even at those prices…it is STILL very elevated compared to where it was a year ago.

    Just want to put a different perspective on it…seems like many of the PM enthusiasts get caught up in the “group think” sometimes…and while I totally agree that our fiat money system is a sham and a crime…do not expect to wake up one day and find that it has fallen apart…TOO many people with TOO much power are 100% vested into this scheme….and they are not gonna let their ship sink without taking everyone else down first….so…don’t put all your eggs in once basket….

    By all means, I would not recommend putting any of your money into paper assets…stay the FUCK away from stocks and bonds.

    But, if you think like I do that all of this will end badly some time soon…then you need MORE than silver and gold (hell..those too may be worth FAR less than what you think they will be in a SHTF scenario) But…other things will be invaluable. I would recommend buying TANGIBLE assets like food, land, guns and ammo, pots and pans, ORGANIC seeds, alternative energy generators (solar/ wind), a good dog with big teeth, tools, gas masks, medical supplies and antibiotics, etc..etc…etc…and most importantly…start trying to build a local community of like-minded, aware indiviuals who can count on each other once the shit starts to fall apart

    • Silver Shield

      As I said in the article and many times before we will have a whiff of deflation maybe even a panic but the end result will be massive money printing.

      Always has, always will.

      This action today is all because of the debt limit talks…
      The ceiling will be raised before or after a crash.
      Once raised there will be more money put into the system at a time when the world no longer wants it.
      Money will increase in velocity compounding the quantity in the system.

      We are at the exponential point where trillions will mean nothing.

      Or we could just have an outright default where by the bankers no longer create debt/money and Washington no longer spends money/debt. Yeah right and maybe Charlie Sheen will voluntarily give up winning before hitting rock bottom.

      Where did you get the quote? “trend of dropping prices is coming to an end” ?

      You will see massive wealth generated from metals as their relative value explodes against paper/ debt assets.

      I use ratio investing and I am still eye balling a 1:1 dow gold ratio. Wether that is 5000:5000 or 1,000,000,000,000,000,000:1,000,000,000,000,000,000 it will happen.

      That would just be the beginning in my mind.

      Get out of paper assets and into REAL assets.

  • ed balls

    >
    >
    “L B M A is association to ‘set’ prices…info exchange
    NOT trading ex., not warehouse” web.
    “West go’v’s cant pay prin, only int.
    U + S. total debts $75 t. some say $200t twelve zero,
    13x gdp of $14t/yr”

  • p m

    >
    >nice.
    “L B M A is association to ‘set’ prices…info exchange
    NOT trading ex., not warehouse” web. fund mg. / 2 prof s say
    “West go’v’s cant pay prin, only int.
    U + S. total debts $75 t. some say $200t twelve zero,
    13x gdp of $14t/yr”

  • That Silver Comex chart looks as if physical is about to precipitously disappear.

  • It all comes down to… “If you don’t hold it, you don’t own it”… Ponce

  • Judethedude

    (Please don’t send me to an Economics 101 TEXTBOOK)

    I am looking for a recommendation for a solid and simple guide to
    macroeconomics–something online that I can read in a few hours. I
    need something understandable. I am no lightweight as far as intellect,
    yet I often do not grasp the relationships among the world’s assets
    (both real and fantasy) and I do not ‘get’ the ways those assets are
    manipulated.

    What I DO get is that we are at the bottom of the food chain and the
    entire chain is at the edge of the cliff. Doesn’t the top-heavy chain
    wobble so the biggest guys go first? or are the laws of physics also suspended
    when all is based upon the non-physical world?

  • […] We all have been patiently watching and waiting for this trend to end after the Silver drive-by shooting. I believe we are very close to the end of this trend. As you all know I am not a technical trader and put little credence in technical analysis in such a market that is rigged on many levels. Think about it,the physical inventory is manipulated by the paper market trading billions of ounces overnight when most of the world’s market were closed leading to a $6 crash in 15 minutes. On top of that manipulation,we have all of the derivatives that multiply the winnings for those in the know. The markets are then manipulated with rate hikes,margin requirements,and rule changes. Look at the FOREX markets that just outlawed trading precious metals. Then you have the dollar,which is what silver is valued in,that in itself is a lie. Finally,I believe the Elite put most of this technical analysis to get the Pavlovian dog traders/traitors to instinctively react to the signals the Elite put out. All that being said,it looks like this consolidation trend is coming to an end. * The debt ceiling will be raised,count on it. (Read:The Contrived Drama of the Debt Ceiling.) * Trillions in QE3 will come before or after a market panic that will shake the foundation of all paper assets. * I wrote earlier that the line established around the time I released the Silver Bullet and the Silver Shield looks to be holding. The CRIMEX inventory has been has been going down like the Titanic with physical registered inventory. (See chart below.) With only about 3% of CRIMEX trades actually taking delivery,this inventory could be gone this month with some pressure. * July,by the way,is a delivery month on the CRIMEX. Options expiry ends June 27th which usually signals a time to release some of the pressure they have put on the market. * My hope is that the Hong Kong Mercantile Exchange finally announces physical silver contracts very soon. * Gold looks like it is about to breakout in the dollar and might drag silver up with it. * The Euro looks like it is going to blow and the dollar is not that much better off. Everyone is talking the PIIGS,but states like California,Illinois,and New York are much worse off. * As we head into this next crisis I don’t believe that the world is going to rush out of the PM’s like in 2008. I think the hands that own the PM’s in 2011 are much stronger than the hands in 2008. Besides all of the awareness among the American investors,there are huge forces who now know what the Precious Metal suppression means to the Anglo-American Empire of war and debt. (Read:The Rise of the anti-Hegemon,The World is Cornering the Elite,The 3 Demands of Silver.) READ MORE […]

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